breaking news

Ohio native says he killed 90 people; law enforcement corroborates 30

Get ready for winter: We could see near-record cold this weekend


I was out running errands a couple of days ago when someone stopped me and thanked me for sunshine that we got to enjoy over the weekend. Indeed, it was a nice change after a very soggy week before.

Of course, just like I cannot take credit for the good weather, I certainly cannot take credit for the weather pattern we are about to endure over the next week to 10 days.

Get ready: a preview of winter is on the way.

TRENDING: Some Wright State faculty considering ‘no-confidence’ vote in school’s president

I posted about the early arrival of winter weather on my Facebook page late last week, and needless to say, I had a lot of people tell me their thoughts about it. While some mentioned their excitement for any potential snow, others asked why it seems we went from summer to fall.

The truth is, it isn’t terribly unusual to see some major temperature swings as we get into November. But the cold that is coming by the weekend may rival some records. By late this week, it will be time to dig out the winter coats, gloves and scarfs. In fact, you may just have to keep them out for a while.

A weak El Niño is forecast to develop as we head into late fall and throughout the coming winter.

TRENDING: Lowe’s to close 51 ‘underperforming’ stores: Find out where

If you recall, El Niño occurs when warmer than normal ocean temperatures develop along the equator in the eastern tropical Pacific. This, in turn, influences the jet stream, and thus the storm track across North America.

The last similar set-up occurred during the winter of 2014-15. Ironically, during the November leading up to that winter, there was a major outbreak of cold that month. Temperatures plummeted to some 15 to 25 degrees below normal by the middle of that month.

One technique in weather forecasting is to look at what we call “analogs” weather patterns. Basically, it is looking at current global weather patterns and comparing them to historical patterns.

TRENDING: ANALYSIS: 5 things we learned about the Bengals during first half of the season

While it doesn’t always tend to work out perfectly, there is certainly a science to predicting the future based on the history of similar weather patterns. With that being said, we currently appear to be mimicking the November we had in 2014.

It also appears that our long-range forecast models are showing we may continue to have a pattern similar to that of four years ago over the next few weeks. So that leads to the question many are asking — if the winter cold is coming, how about the winter snow?

The answer is: we just don’t know yet. What we do know is that it will get cold enough for snow. It also is likely to stay cold for at least the next week to 10 days after the temperatures drop. It also is likely the Great Lakes will begin to fuel lake-effect snow showers as early as this weekend.

TRENDING: Oakwood English Bulldog reportedly stolen during trick or treat returned

If the wind flow is right, it is possible some of those snow showers or flurries could conceivably make it into the Miami Valley either this weekend or sometime next week. But whether any significant snow will occur is more of a question and seems doubtful anytime soon.

However, it is important to point out that in November of 2014, we ended up with more than 4 inches of snow before Thanksgiving. Whether history will repeat itself is a big question — but the odds seem in our favor that they will.



Reader Comments ...


Next Up in News

FBI investigating death of American on cruise ship bound for Aruba
FBI investigating death of American on cruise ship bound for Aruba

Investigators with the FBI are probing the death of an American woman on a Princess Cruises ship bound for Aruba, according to multiple reports. The 52-year-old woman, whose name was not released, died early Tuesday while aboard the Royal Princess, The Associated Press reported. Princess Cruises officials told WPLG in a statement that Aruban...
Ohio native, convicted murderer confesses to 90 deaths; 30 corroborated
Ohio native, convicted murderer confesses to 90 deaths; 30 corroborated

A man convicted of three California murders and long suspected in numerous other deaths now claims he was involved in about 90 killings nationwide spanning nearly four decades, and investigators already have corroborated about a third of those, a Texas prosecutor said Thursday. Ector County District Attorney Bobby Bland said 78-year-old Samuel Little...
Atlanta bans pet stores from selling cats and dogs
Atlanta bans pet stores from selling cats and dogs

Under a new bill signed into law Tuesday, pet stores in Atlanta cannot sell cats or dogs to customers. The ordinance is a preventive measure, as officials aren’t aware of any stores that were selling dogs or cats in the city — a practice that has fallen out of fashion as more pet owners choose to adopt from shelters instead of...
Ohio congresswoman may challenge Nancy Pelosi for speaker of the House
Ohio congresswoman may challenge Nancy Pelosi for speaker of the House

Rep. Marcia Fudge, a Cleveland Democrat who led the Congressional Black Caucus from 2012 to 2014, is considering challenging Nancy Pelosi for speaker of the House. Fudge, whose spokeswoman said she was unavailable for comment Thursday, told Cleveland.com late Wednesday she was considering a run for the top leadership position, and a spokeswoman Thursday...
Rapper Young Dolph returning to Memphis to hand out Thanksgiving turkeys
Rapper Young Dolph returning to Memphis to hand out Thanksgiving turkeys

A rapper is giving back to the city that he says made him who he is today.  Young Dolph will make a guest appearance for teens and young adults from Memphis Athletic Ministries on Thursday, Nov. 15 at 4:30 p.m. >> Read more trending news  Students from all five ministry locations will be bused to a Memphis community center to hear a...
More Stories