Republican pollster Frank Luntz says it’s too early to predict how the 2018 races will go in Ohio, though he gives the edge to Sherrod Brown in the U.S. Senate race and the Republicans for keeping the governor’s office.
Photo: Laura A. Bischoff
Photo: Laura A. Bischoff

Too soon to predict 2018 election in Ohio, GOP pollster says

“These are advantages that are meaningful and measurable today but that may well change in a year and a half,” said Luntz. “I will warn you guys: do not make a projection now. Based on what we learned with this (2016) election, don’t make a projection until you get to October of next year.”

Related: Pollster tells Ohio GOP delegates they have to get on board with Trump

Democrats are energized, raising money and organizing but at the same time Republicans are changing regulations and are under pressure to deliver health care and tax reform packages, he said.

“I think you’re going to see an unusually high (voter) turnout for an off year election,” said Luntz, who held a focus group discussion in Columbus with Trump voters this week. “I do believe everything is up for grabs and I think we’ll see a lot of surprises between now and then.”

Luntz said 18 of the 20 Trump voters in the group said they’ll vote to re-elect the Republican to the White House in 2020, as long as he continues to deliver on his campaign promises. Luntz said Trump supporters like his tone, message, cabinet picks, U.S. Supreme Court appointment and other moves so far.

Related: What are Ohio’s gubernatorial candidates worth?

Thank you for reading the Springfield News-Sun and for supporting local journalism. Subscribers: log in for access to your daily ePaper and premium newsletters.

Thank you for supporting in-depth local journalism with your subscription to the Springfield News-Sun. Get more news when you want it with email newsletters just for subscribers. Sign up here.