The long-range outlook for precipitation shows equal chances of receiving above or below average rainfall this summer. It will be important to see how that plays out in the coming weeks. If the weather pattern gets quiet over the next few weeks, then the chances of a hot summer will increase. Dry soil will heat faster than soil that has moisture. Thus, the dryer we get, the hotter we will likely be.
As we head toward fall, meteorologists will once again be looking to see if El Nino will make a big return. The term El Niño refers to the large-scale ocean-atmosphere climate interaction linked to a periodic warming in sea surface temperatures across the central and east-central Equatorial Pacific. Most forecasters believe there is a good chance this weather pattern will return this fall and for the coming winter. I’ll wait for a little more data before writing about what this means for the winter weather outlook. Let’s not rush summer yet!
Eric Elwell is WHIO StormCenter 7 Chief Meteorologist. Contact him at firstname.lastname@example.org or follow him on Facebook and Twitter.