Elwell: Valentine’s has history of delivering big storms. What can we expect this year?


Valentine’s Day is upon us and this typically means some great cuddle weather here in the Miami Valley.

Most years, Valentine’s Day is typically cold and many times snowy in this part of the world. In fact, we’ve had accumulating snow on Valentine’s Day in three of the last five years. Last year was one of the exceptions as temperatures soared into the 50s. It looks like we’ll repeat last year this Valentine’s Day as another unseasonably mild day is in the forecast.

While we may get a little taste of Spring Fever this Valentine’s Day, this week in February can be known to be one of the roughest weeks of winter in our history. Fifteen years ago, a storm that would rival the Great Blizzard of 1978 developed across the southern Rockies early Friday morning of Feb. 14, 2003.

»RELATED: Elwell: Winter could hang around until April

The storm then moved eastward, spreading heavy snow and freezing rain into the Ohio Valley on that Valentine’s weekend. The storm produced near blizzard conditions from Dayton to Columbus and eastward where over a foot of snow fell through the weekend.

In the Miami Valley, the 2003 storm produced 12.1 inches of snow on that Valentine’s weekend. That was the most amount of snow to be produced by a single storm in Dayton since the Blizzard of ‘78, which produced 12.9 inches of snow. Granted, the very next winter, a massive storm just before Christmas in 2004 produced a whopping 16.4 inches, shattering the snowfall amount produced by the 1978 blizzard.

»TRENDING NEWS: Armed robbery shows uptick in teen gang activity

It is important to note that the Blizzard of ‘78 had been preceded by previous storms in which there was already nearly a foot of snow on the ground when that blizzard arrived making the ‘78 blizzard more extreme, not to mention the severe winds the blizzard produced.

So, this Valentine’s Day may not provide best cuddle weather for you and your special someone. However, I doubt too many will complain with a break from the cold. As of Monday, temperatures have averaged nearly 5 degrees below normal for the month. We’ve also received 17.1 inches of snow in the Dayton area, which is well over the amount of snow that we received by this same date the last two years - combined. While that may seem like a lot of snow, believe it or not we are still within the top-10 least snowiest winters.

»RELATED: Elwell: Sick of the snow? You shouldn’t be

Whether we stay in the top-10 will be determined by what happens the next few weeks. But it would appear we may have to wait until the end of the month before any significant winter storms threaten. Stay tuned!

Eric Elwell is WHIO StormCenter 7 Chief Meteorologist. Contact him at eric.elwell@coxinc.com or follow him on Facebook and Twitter.



Reader Comments ...


Next Up in News

Gunmen followed family 80 miles from shopping center to rob them, police say
Gunmen followed family 80 miles from shopping center to rob them, police say

A woman said she was robbed at gunpoint in her own driveway after driving 80 miles home from a shopping trip. Police believe the robbers may have followed her from the shopping center in Atlanta to her home in Dalton. Brittany McEntire told WSB that two men robbed her at gunpoint about three weeks ago. Her mother, husband and three children...
Trump signs executive order ending migrant family separations
Trump signs executive order ending migrant family separations

President Donald Trump on Wednesday signed an executive order ending his administration’s policy of separating children from parents at the U.S.-Mexico border amid global criticism of the practice. Update 4 p.m. EDT June 20: White House officials on Wednesday afternoon released the full text of the executive order signed by the president...
Anthony Bourdain to be honored with ‘food trail’ in home state of New Jersey
Anthony Bourdain to be honored with ‘food trail’ in home state of New Jersey

New Jersey is honoring native son and award-winning celebrity chef Anthony Bourdain with a “food trail” of his favorite New Jersey restaurants. >> Read more trending news  Although the popular writer, storyteller and host of CNN’s Emmy-winning “Parts Unknown” was born in New York, according to his biography...
Trump ends migrant family separations: Read the executive order
Trump ends migrant family separations: Read the executive order

President Donald Trump on Wednesday signed an executive order to end his administration’s controversial policy of separating migrant children from adults suspected of crossing the border into the United State illegally. The Trump administration in April directed prosecutors to pursue cases against all people suspected of crossing the border illegally...
Bill’s Donut Shop to close for renovations
Bill’s Donut Shop to close for renovations

One of the area’s most well-known places to grab a doughnut will close for a week in July. Bill’s Donut Shop on North Main Street in Centerville will close at 3 p.m. July 1 and reopen at 3 p.m. July 8, co-owner Jim Elam told this news organization. The store will be getting some renovations while it’s closed for a week, Elam said...
More Stories