- By Sean Frye Diehards
As 2018 rosters begin to crystallize following Wednesday’s National Signing Day, the Washington Huskies checked in at No. 4 in the latest S&P+ rankings.
2018 S&P+ PROJECTIONS: Ohio State and Bama are basically tied at the top, Washington’s ready, and … good LORD, Big Ten East, you are ridiculous. https://t.co/9PT0PPgO2B
— Bill Connelly (@SBN_BillC) February 9, 2018
Bill Connelly of SB Nation explains what exactly the S&P+ rankings entail:
The preseason S&P+ projections are a simple mix of three factors: recent history, returning production, and recruiting. To come up with 130-team projections, I create projected ratings based on each factor. Here’s how the process works:
Recruiting is easy. I create a rating based on these two-year recruiting rankings. The recruiting-based projection makes up about a quarter of the overall S&P+ projection.
For returning production, I apply projected changes (based on each team’s returning offensive and defensive production, which are on different scales) to last year’s S&P+ averages. The projection based on returning production accounts for a little more than 50 percent.
For recent history, I get a little weird. I found last year that the previous year’s S&P+ ratings — which make up the starting point for the returning production figures — were carrying a little too much weight. So what you see below is a projection based solely off of seasons two to five years ago. Recent history now carries less weight in the overall formulas, under 20 percent.
The Huskies sit behind only Ohio State, Alabama and Clemson in the latest edition of the rankings. They ranked 17th in recruiting impact and 2nd in returning production.
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