With a record of 6-1, the Virginia Tech Hokies are sitting pretty in the ACC Championship race. They have only lost to the defending national champions, and every game remaining on their schedule is winnable. That would put Virginia Tech back in the conference title game and in the College Football Playoff discussion.
But the ESPN Football Power Index doesn’t think that’s very likely. The ESPN FPI gives Virginia Tech just a 7.1 percent chance of winning the ACC championship.
Comparatively, that’s significantly lower than the odds Clemson, Miami and N.C. State received.
Not surprisingly, the Tigers remain the favorite despite their loss at Syracuse last week. The ESPN FPI gives Clemson a 40.7 percent chance of winning the conference title, but it’s a bit shocking how much better the odds are for the Hurricanes and Wolfpack then for the Hokies.
After Week 8, Miami received a 32.3 percent chance of winning the ACC while N.C. State chances sat at 19.3 percent.
With such a discrepancy in the odds, one would think Virginia Tech doesn’t control its own destiny in the ACC race, but the team certainly does. They are just 2-1 in conference and have more ACC tilts remaining than any of the other contenders, but if Virginia Tech wins out, they will be in the conference championship game.
And their remaining schedule isn’t all that tough. The Hokies will host Duke this Saturday and then visit Miami and Georgia Tech the following two weeks. Then, they finish with a home game against Pitt and road matchup against Virginia.
Unless someone like Georgia Tech plays spoiler, the Virginia Tech-Miami matchup will be a defacto ACC semifinal and determine who wins the Coastal Division.
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