Weekday, daytime sports betting. Is there anything better? Nope, at least before the action starts and the betting losses haven’t piled up yet. We’ll try to avoid that today.
We’re previewing and picking every Friday NCAA Tournament game with betting in mind. Land of 10’s Connor Whooley has against the spread picks and analysis on every game.
NCAA Tournament betting picks for every game on Friday
12:15 p.m. ET — No. 7 Texas A&M (-2) vs. N0. 10 Providence
Providence had itself a nice little run in the Big East Tournament, knocking off Xavier, which earned a No. 1 seed. The Friars are an experienced team with Ed Cooley at the helm. Meanwhile, Texas A&M bowed out to Alabama in the first round of the SEC Tournament. The Aggies were streaky to end the season, losing three before winning their final three heading into the conference tourney.
Whooley: Providence +2
12:40 p.m. ET — No. 2 Purdue (-20.5) vs. No. 15 CSU Fullerton
The Boilermakers are the heavy favorites in this one and earned a No. 2 seed despite falling to Michigan in the semifinals of the Big Ten Tournament, but have a top-10 efficiency offense according to KenPom and can pour it in from multiple weapons. CSU Fullerton, meanwhile, will likely not have the firepower to keep up.
Whooley: CSU Fullerton +20.5
1:30 p.m. ET — No. 4 Wichita State (-12) vs. No. 13 Marshall
Wichita State has a top-10 efficient offense while the defense leaves a little to be desired according to KenPom. Marshall, meanwhile, won the C-USA Tournament but has a respectable 24-10 record coming into the game. The Thundering Heard are a trendy upset pick, though.
Whooley: Wichita State -12
2 p.m. ET — No. 2 Cincinnati (-14) vs. No. 15 Georgia State
The American Conference champion Bearcats come in winners of their last seven to earn a No. 2 seed but have not earned the line that other No. 2 seeds have earned. The team is No. 2 in defensive efficiency according to KenPom and have held five of those last seven opponents to 60 points or less. It’ll be an uphill climb for the Panthers, who won the Sun Belt Tournament to get in.
Whooley: Cincinnati -14
2:45 p.m. ET — No. 2 UNC (-19.5) vs. No. 15 Lipscomb
North Carolina bowed out against No. 1 seed Virginia in the finals of the ACC Tournament after knocking down fellow No. 2 seed Duke on the way there. The Tar Heels have a strong offensive efficiency rating according to KenPom, while Lipscomb has had one of the highest degrees of luck in the country. The game being in North Carolina helps, too.
Whooley: UNC -19.5
3:10 p.m. ET — No. 7 Arkansas (-1) vs. No. 10 Butler
Butler wins games in March. That’s one reason to take the Bulldogs. They fact that they played No. 1 seeds Villanova and Xavier close in their meetings and knocked off the Wildcats once is proof enough that they could make some noise. Arkansas on the other hand is battle-tested from the SEC and played seven tournament teams to close out the season counting the conference tournament.
Whooley: Butler +1
4:00 p.m. ET — No. 5 West Virginia (-10.5) vs. No. 12 Murray State
Press Virginia is back in the tournament but face a tough test against Murray State, which hasn’t lost since late January. The Mountaineers can hold teams scoreless and then run away with a game quickly, so if they get a chance they can build a big lead. If the Racers can chip away though, they can keep it close.
Whooley: Murray State +10.5
4:30 p.m. ET — No. 7 Texas (-1.5) vs. No. 10 Nevada
With Mo Bamba back and fully healthy, Texas could be a threat. The Longhorns solid defense will also have to combat Nevada’s strong offense. The Wolfpack lost to San Diego State twice in their last three games to end the season including a blowout in the Mountain West Tournament and are definitely a trendy pick for an upset.
Whooley: Nevada +1.5
6:50 p.m. ET — No. 8 Creighton (-1) vs. No. 9 Kansas State
The Blue Jays Marcus Foster will be playing against his old team in the Wildcats, who hold teams to under 70 points in scoring. The Blue Jays, meanwhile, average over 80 points and beat Villanova in their last five games, but also lost three of those contests and four of their last seven before falling to Providence in the first round of the Big East Tournament.
Whooley: Creighton -1
7:10 p.m. ET — No. 3 Michigan State (-14.5) vs. No. 14 Bucknell
The Spartans are top-10 in both offensive and defensive efficiency, according to KenPom and that should be more than enough to power them over the Bison. A slow start by the Spartans could keep the Bison around for a while, but the Big Ten squad has only lost once since January and can buckle down late.
Whooley: Michigan State -14.5
7:15 p.m. ET — No. 1 Xavier (-19.5) vs. Texas Southern
The Tigers got their first tournament win in the play-in game, but against the No. 1 seed Musketeers, the run could end. The Musketeers have top-10 offensive efficiency according to KenPom, though, and if they get hot early could put it away.
Whooley: Texas Southern (-19.5)
7:27 p.m. ET – No. 4 Auburn (-9) vs. No. 13 College of Charleston
Auburn lost four of its last six games including a first-round SEC Tournament exit against Alabama to close out the season, while C of C lost one game since January and won the CAA title to make the dance. It’s a hot team against a somewhat cold squad, but the Tigers should be able to pull this one out.
Whooley: Auburn -9
9:20 p.m. ET — No. 1 Virginia -21 vs. No. 16 UMBC
UMBC is riding high after taking down top-seed Vermont to win the America East Title, but the Cavaliers will slow that roll. The ACC champions learned that sixth man De’Andre Hunter will miss the tournament and that will likely hurt them down the stretch, but their top-ranked defense according to KenPom should help them cover.
Whooley: Virginia -21
9:30 p.m. ET — No. 6 TCU (-4) vs. No. 11 Syracuse
No matter who made it out of the ‘Cuse-Arizona State play-in game, the winner was going to be a trendy pick to pull an upset. The Orangemen’s defense is a top-10 unit according to KenPom, while TCU has a top-10 offense. The Horned Frogs still don’t have Jaylen Fisher though after he got injured earlier in the year.
Whooley: Syracuse +4
9:50 p.m. ET — No. 8 Missouri vs. No. 9 Florida State (-1.5)
The Seminoles are slightly favored even with Michael Porter Jr. returning to the lineup for the Tigers, but who knows what to expect from him? The Seminoles also lost six of their last 10 coming into the tournament, so it could go either way.
Whooley: Florida State -1.5
9:57 p.m. ET — No. 5 Clemson (-5) vs. No. 12 New Mexico State
It’ll be Clemson’s defense, which holds opponents to 65.8 points per game against New Mexico State’s solid defense which allows 63.7 points per game. It should be a low-scoring affair for sure.
Whooley: New Mexico State +5
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